Live Coverage: Florida State hosts Louisville in an early must-win game in the ACC

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THESPEAD.COM One might think that just three games into the 2019 college football season that we have a must-win is a bit of an overstatement. However, both Florida State and Louisville want to show they are still relevant programs in college football and the winner of today’s game in Tallahassee can start the back on the right track process.

Public Betting Trends

According to the latest oddsmakers, Florida State is the favorite in this game, as the Seminoles are getting odds of -6.5 points against Louisville. The over/under total for the contest is listed at 61 points. The public betting currently has 79 percent going on Louisville as the road underdog. This information is subject to change, however, so be sure to check out our NCAAF Public Betting Page for updated figures on the game.

Cardinals picking up steam

Louisville has won two straight since losing to Notre Dame in the season opener. They have earned wins over Eastern Kentucky and Western Kentucky. The Cardinals are 2-1 on the year, 3-0 against the spread and 2-1 with the under.

The Cardinals have been explosive on offense at times, averaging 32.3 points and 446.7 yards per game. Defensively, Louisville is giving up just 18.7 points and 294.3 yards per contest. Jawon Pass has looked good at QB, throwing for 330 yards and four touchdowns while rushing for 104 yards and two scores. However, he is dealing with foot injury that kept him out of last week’s game and has him questionable to play on Saturday. Malik Cunningham will start if Pass can’t play. He has thrown for 143 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 119 yards. Javian Hawkins is the leading rusher on the team with 338 yards and a score. Tutu Atwell is the leading receiver with 11 catches for 241 yards and four scores.

Florida State falls again

Florida State suffered a 31-24 loss at Virginia last weekend to drop to 1-2 on the season. Their lone win came against Louisiana-Monroe at home in OT, 45-44. FSU is 0-2-1 against the spread and 3-0 with the over.

The Seminoles are putting up 33.3 points and 418.7 yards per game on offense this season while allowing 37 points and 485 yards per game on defense. James Blackman is leading the team with 843 yards and nine touchdowns passing. Cam Akers has been a force in the backfield, rushing for 387 yards and three touchdowns. Tamorrion Terry is the leading receiver with 14 catches for 234 yards and a touchdown.

College Football Betting Trends

Louisville

The Cardinals are just 1-6 against the spread in their last seven road games and 0-6 ATS in their last six ACC contests.

Florida State

Florida State is 3-11-3 ATS in their last 17 conference games and 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven against a winning team.

Prediction:

Louisville has covered in the last three meetings with Florida State and the Seminoles haven’t looked like a polished team thus far in 2019. FSU has had all three of its games decided by seven points or less, with the lone win coming by just one point. It appears the Seminoles are a team that will play to the level of their competition this season. Not having Pass would certainly hurt Louisville, but with Pass, the Cardinals look like a competitive team on the national level. Without him, it could be a tough, go, but I can’t trust Florida State to win by seven points against much of anyone right now, especially a conference opponent.

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