OLBG study reveals which Premier League transfers have most increased, decreased in value

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Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah, left, duels for the ball with Manchester City’s Joao Cancelo during the English Premier League soccer match between Manchester City and Liverpool, at the Etihad stadium in Manchester, England, Sunday, April 10, 2022. (AP Photo/Jon Super)

With nearly a third of the Premier League season in the books, which players have been able to increase their value the most?

OLBG commissioned a study to show which players have outperformed their signing value, but also which ones have seen their value plummet early in the campaign.

As well as identifying which teams have made the best value signings this season, the study also analyzed TransferMarkt data to discover which new signing attacking players have increased most in worth, based on their Premier League first quarter performance. 

Callum Hudson-Odoi’s move from Chelsea to Nottingham Forest has seen his value increase by 243%. Since being signed for around £3m and reportedly being “beyond determined”, Hudson-Odoi’s value is now estimated to sit at about £12m

Unfortunately, the same cannot be said for Chris Wood’s move, having seen his value drop by 53%. Wood made the permanent move from Newcastle United to Nottingham Forest in June but has since seen his value fall from around £15m to just £8m

The ten players who have depreciated most in value 

  1. Chris Wood: -53% 
  2. Matheus Cunha: – 44% 
  3. Deivid Washington: -44% 
  4. Adrian Mazilu: -33% 
  5. Enso González: -33% 
  6. Cole Palmer: -32% 
  7. Chermiti: -28% 
  8. Alejo Véliz: -27% 
  9. Wilson Odobert: -25% 
  10. Matheus França: -25% 

Commenting on the findings, a spokesperson for OLBG said: “Premier League spending has increased by 43.9% over the past four years, seeing some record-breaking signings for players, such as Declan Rice’s move from West Ham to Arsenal for £116.6m. Because of these increasing fees, we wanted to look specifically at the transfers of attacking players to figure out which club was investing their money wisely into players who were providing value for money. There are still plenty of games to go this season, but the data paints a fascinating picture of which signings have hit the ground running, and which ones are still finding their feet”