Guardians vs Rays Insights, Odds and Predictions with Carlos SME!!

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Guardians vs. Rays Insights, Odds and Predictions with Carlos SME!!

The Cleveland Guardians are gearing up to face the Tampa Bay Rays at Progressive Field this Thursday at 7:15 p.m. ET. This game promises to be a thrilling encounter with standout players like Cleveland’s José Ramírez and Tampa Bay’s Yandy Diaz taking the field. Set your reminders folks—this game will be broadcast live on FOX, and you won’t want to miss it!

Betting Lines and Odds

When it comes to betting, here’s how the odds stack up:

  • Moneyline Odds: The Guardians are listed as the favorites with -144 odds, while the Rays are the underdogs at +122.
  • Run Line: Cleveland is favored to win by 1.5 runs with odds at +149. On the flip side, taking the Rays at +1.5 has odds of -179.
  • Total Runs: The over/under for total runs in this game is set at 7.5, with the over odds at -116 and the under at -105.

Cleveland Guardians Recent Betting Trends

The Guardians have had a consistent performance this season, especially when playing as favorites:

  • Performance: They’ve won 66.7% of the 90 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Moneyline Stats: Cleveland is 25-13 when favored by -144 or more.
  • Total Games: In their last 10 outings, they’ve hit the over just twice.
  • ATS: They’ve gone 7-3-0 against the spread in recent matchups.
  • Key Player Stats: José Ramírez has been a powerhouse with 34 home runs and 106 RBIs this season. Steven Kwan leads the team with a .290 batting average and Andrés Giménez continues his streak, batting .333 in his last five games.

Tampa Bay Rays Recent Betting Trends

Let’s take a look at how the Rays have been performing:

  • Performance: The Rays have won 34 of the 77 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • Moneyline Stats: Tampa Bay has an 11-19 record when the moneyline is set at +122 or longer.
  • Total Games: In their last 10 games, they’ve gone over the total four times.
  • ATS: The Rays have an impressive 8-2-0 record against the spread in their recent contests.
  • Key Player Stats: Yandy Diaz leads the team with a .281 batting average and 65 RBIs. Christopher Morel is the home run leader with 21, and Brandon Lowe adds power with his 19 doubles and 17 homers.

SME’s 3 Betting Insights

  1. Run Line Value: Betting on the Guardians to cover the run line at -1.5 offers a substantial return with a +149 odds. Given their recent form as moneyline favorites, this could be a value pick for bettors.
  2. Total Runs Consideration: The over/under is set at 7.5 runs. With the Guardians scoring over 3.9 runs per game recently and the Rays at 3.4, there’s a moderate chance of the game going over.
  3. Underdog Potential: The Rays have shown they can upset as underdogs, winning 11 out of 30 games when the odds are +122 or higher. Thus, a bet on the Rays might hold hidden value.

The Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays present an intriguing matchup with several interesting betting angles. Keep an eye on key players like José Ramírez and Yandy Diaz, who could be game-changers. Remember to consider the insights I’ve shared when placing your bets to maximize your potential returns.

About the Author: Carlos SME is your go-to expert for all things sports betting. With his sharp eye for nuanced details, he’s been helping bettors turn a profit consistently. Simply put, SME ‘Gets IT’. It being 2024 and Americas raging love affair with firing on both players and teams in which a keen eye for the sharp subtle divides between 2 way action & the ‘final’ score is where his delta resides. SME’s process always finds the nuance, subtle context or the dislocated narrative that separates W’s from an army of L’s.
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