Race Day 2024: Kyle Larson will drive Indy then fly to Charlotte for the NASCAR 600 in a long day of racing.


NASCAR.COM – Story by Alex Cadavid – After a wild All-Star Weekend that saw tempers flare and $1 million paid out to Joey Logano, the Cup Series is back in full swing this weekend with a crown-jewel race on tap in the Queen City.

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The advance metrics once again have its sights set on Kyle Larson to end up in Victory Lane. Larson will be attempting the Memorial Day Double this Sunday, which is a challenge in itself, but it‘s a 1.5-mile track this week, which means it‘s still a good bet Larson will find his way to the front after driving 500 miles around the Brickyard. In 2021, when Larson won the Coca-Cola 600, he swept each stage and led 327 laps at Charlotte. He also has 21 stage wins on 1.5-mile tracks since ’21 and has the most top-five finishes in night races in the Next Gen era wit

Following Larson in the projections is Joe Gibbs Racing‘s Denny Hamlin, 23XI Racing‘s Tyler Reddick, Larson‘s Hendrick Motorsports teammate William Byron and Hamlin‘s JGR counterpart in Martin Truex Jr. to round out the top five. Chase Elliott, Ryan Blaney, Brad Keselowski, Alex Bowman and Christopher Bell complete the projected top 10.

The Coca-Cola 600 is set to be a thrilling nightcap on Sunday, which is a day full of action across three major motorsport categories.


TYLER REDDICK: Reddick has impressively finished in the top 10 in each of his four Coca-Cola 600 starts, giving him an average finish of 7.0 in NASCAR’s longest race and ranking second-best all-time among drivers with more than two starts. Reddick also has scored the second most points on 1.5-mile tracks (113) this season.

MARTIN TRUEX JR.: Truex has remained consistent all year. He currently sits second in the driver standings and is the only one without a trip to Victory Lane in the top six, but that could change soon. Truex has led the most laps in four of the last nine Coca-Cola 600s, including his remarkable 2016 win where he led 392 laps.

Brad Keselowski wins the Goodyear 400.

CHASE ELLIOTT: Elliott‘s 9.85 average finish is currently the best in the Cup field. He already has an intermediate win this year at Texas. At Charlotte, he has finished top five in four of the last six oval races, including a pair of runner-up finishes in the last five events and Hendrick has won 12 Coca-Cola 600s.

CHRIS BUESCHER: The Buescher camp has suffered heartbreak in the last two points-paying races. Despite that, the No. 17 team has been hitting its stride and has been in contention to win in a handful of races this year. Charlotte could be the weekend they finally put it all together and get a breakthrough win.

KYLE BUSCH: It‘s been an up-and-down year for Rowdy, but across the last seven Coca-Cola 600s, he‘s finished sixth or better. His 1,061 laps led in the 600 ranks third best all-time. Not to mention Busch has 16 career wins on 1.5-mile tracks. Plus, two of Busch‘s five top-10 finishes came on intermediates this year.

RACING INSIGHTS’ PROJECTIONS FOR THE COCA-COLA 600Racing Insights’ advanced statistical formula includes current track, current track type, recent performance, team data and pit-crew data to arrive at a projected winner and full race results.

FinishCar NumberDriver
15Kyle Larson
211Denny Hamlin
345Tyler Reddick
424William Byron
519Martin Truex Jr.
69Chase Elliott
712Ryan Blaney
86Brad Keselowski
948Alex Bowman
1020Christopher Bell
118Kyle Busch
121Ross Chastain
1323Bubba Wallace
1454Ty Gibbs
1517Chris Buescher
1622Joey Logano
1714Chase Briscoe
1810Noah Gragson
1999Daniel Suárez
2043Erik Jones
213Austin Dillon
2234Michael McDowell
2347Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
2441Ryan Preece
257Corey LaJoie
264Josh Berry
2742John Hunter Nemechek
2851Justin Haley
2977Carson Hocevar
3071Zane Smith
312Austin Cindric
3221Harrison Burton
3338Todd Gilliland
3484Jimmie Johnson
3515Kaz Grala
3631Daniel Hemric
3750Ty Dillon
3816Shane van Gisbergen
3944J.J. Yeley
4066BJ McLeod